Category: Uncategorized
-
Haven’t had a positive day in a while and it feels like every day it’s because the teams I bet on just can’t hold their leads. Today’s Stats: Model favorites won: 6/15Sportsbook favorites won: 9/15Picks won: 3/8Net Units: -1.97uROI: -24.63% Weekly Stats: Model favorites won: 6/15Sportsbook favorites won: 9/15Picks won: 3/8Net Units: -1.97uROI: -24.63%
-
My Picks% represents the amount of bankroll to bet based on a Half-Kelly Criterion betting strategy Pittsburgh Pirates ML +100, 6.5% Tampa Bay Rays ML +125, 10.5% Baltimore Orioles ML +120, 7.5% San Francisco Giants ML +100, 8.5% Detroit Tigers ML -105, 5.5% Miami Marlins ML +110, 5.5% Washington Nationals ML -120, 18.5% Cincinnati Reds…
-
Awful end to the week. Today’s Stats: Model favorites won: 7/16Sportsbook favorites won: 10/16Picks won: 2/8Net Units: -4.40uROI: -55.00% Weekly Stats: Model favorites won: 24/46Sportsbook favorites won: 27/46Picks won: 9/23Net Units: -5.50uROI: -23.91%
-
My Picks% represents the amount of bankroll to bet based on a Half-Kelly Criterion betting strategy Los Angeles Dodgers ML -115, 3.5% Tampa Bay Rays ML +105, 14.5% Kansas City Royals ML -130, 16% Miami Marlins ML +110, 6.5% Minnesota Twins ML +140, 8.5% San Francisco Giants ML +145, 9.5% Arizona Diamondbacks ML -130, 8%…
-
Ofc Giants throw that. Today’s Stats: Model favorites won: 9/15Sportsbook favorites won: 10/15Picks won: 3/7Net Units: -1.13uROI: -16.14% Weekly Stats: Model favorites won: 17/30Sportsbook favorites won: 17/30Picks won: 7/15Net Units: -1.10uROI: -7.33%
-
My Picks% represents the amount of bankroll to bet based on a Half-Kelly Criterion betting strategy Pittsburgh Pirates ML +105, 9.5% New York Mets ML +140, 7% St. Louis Cardinals ML +100, 11% Boston Red Sox ML -115, 17% Texas Rangers ML -105, 7.5% San Francisco Giants ML +115, 9.5% Los Angeles Dodgers ML -115,…
-
Not a great day. Tons of missed opportunities. Today’s Stats: Model favorites won: 7/14Sportsbook favorites won: 7/14Picks won: 3/7Net Units: -1.07uROI: -15.29% Weekly Stats: Model favorites won: 8/15Sportsbook favorites won: 7/15Picks won: 4/8Net Units: +0.03uROI: 0.38%
-
My Picks% represents the amount of bankroll to bet based on a Half-Kelly Criterion betting strategy Los Angeles Dodgers ML -115, 6.5% Texas Rangers ML +170, 6% Toronto Blue Jays ML -135, 6.5% Miami Marlins ML +125, 7% Minnesota Twins ML +120, 4.5% Colorado Rockies ML -115, 9.5% Washington Nationals ML -110, 8% Comparison to…
-
Rare Mets win. Today’s Stats: Model favorites won: 1/1Sportsbook favorites won: 0/1Picks won: 1/1Net Units: +1.10uROI: 110% Weekly Stats: Model favorites won: 1/1Sportsbook favorites won: 0/1Picks won: 1/1Net Units: +1.10uROI: 110%
-
My Picks% represents the amount of bankroll to bet based on a Half-Kelly Criterion betting strategy New York Mets ML +110, 17% Comparison to Sportsbook Odds (Edges and EV): Matchup Higher EV Team Probability EV Odds New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies New York Mets 65.46% 0.3746 +110 My Model’s Predicted Winner + Win Probability:…
