My Picks
% represents the amount of bankroll to bet based on a Half-Kelly Criterion betting strategy
- Toronto Blue Jays ML +170, 7.5%
- Miami Marlins ML -150, 7%
- Kansas City Royals ML +135, 10%
- Baltimore Orioles ML +110, 12%
- Detroit Tigers ML -125, 10%
- Arizona Diamondbacks ML +125, 5%
- Tampa Bay Rays ML -110, 9.5%
Comparison to Sportsbook Odds (Edges and EV):
| Matchup | Higher EV Team | Probability | EV | Odds |
| Cincinnati Reds vs Washington Nationals | Washington Nationals | 50.92% | -0.0274 | -110 |
| Athletics vs Boston Red Sox | Boston Red Sox | 72.56% | 0.0158 | -250 |
| New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates | New York Mets | 43.76% | -0.0460 | +120 |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs Philadelphia Phillies | Toronto Blue Jays | 46.77% | 0.2627 | +170 |
| Atlanta Braves vs New York Yankees | New York Yankees | 62.71% | 0.0598 | -145 |
| Los Angeles Angels vs Miami Marlins | Miami Marlins | 65.30% | 0.0904 | -150 |
| Chicago Cubs vs Kansas City Royals | Kansas City Royals | 54.27% | 0.2754 | +135 |
| Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox | Chicago White Sox | 47.28% | -0.0307 | +105 |
| Minnesota Twins vs Milwaukee Brewers | Minnesota Twins | 35.40% | 0.1327 | +220 |
| Colorado Rockies vs St. Louis Cardinals | Colorado Rockies | 41.59% | -0.0017 | +140 |
| Baltimore Orioles vs Texas Rangers | Baltimore Orioles | 59.97% | 0.2593 | +110 |
| Detroit Tigers vs San Francisco Giants | Detroit Tigers | 64.26% | 0.1567 | -125 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks | Arizona Diamondbacks | 50.00% | 0.1250 | +125 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs Seattle Mariners | Tampa Bay Rays | 61.33% | 0.1715 | -110 |
| Houston Astros vs San Diego Padres | Houston Astros | 51.71% | 0.0601 | +105 |
My Model’s Predicted Winner + Win Probability:
| Matchup | Predicted Winner | Probability |
| Cincinnati Reds vs Washington Nationals | Washington Nationals | 50.92% |
| Athletics vs Boston Red Sox | Boston Red Sox | 72.56% |
| New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates | Pittsburgh Pirates | 56.24% |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs Philadelphia Phillies | Philadelphia Phillies | 53.23% |
| Atlanta Braves vs New York Yankees | New York Yankees | 62.71% |
| Los Angeles Angels vs Miami Marlins | Miami Marlins | 65.30% |
| Chicago Cubs vs Kansas City Royals | Kansas City Royals | 54.27% |
| Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox | Cleveland Guardians | 52.72% |
| Minnesota Twins vs Milwaukee Brewers | Milwaukee Brewers | 64.60% |
| Colorado Rockies vs St. Louis Cardinals | St. Louis Cardinals | 58.41% |
| Baltimore Orioles vs Texas Rangers | Baltimore Orioles | 59.97% |
| Detroit Tigers vs San Francisco Giants | Detroit Tigers | 64.26% |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks | Arizona Diamondbacks | 50.00% |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs Seattle Mariners | Tampa Bay Rays | 61.33% |
| Houston Astros vs San Diego Padres | Houston Astros | 51.71% |
Bayesball Picks 
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