Bayesball Picks

Model-Based EV Picks

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    7/16/26 Baseball Picks

    My Picks
    % represents the amount of bankroll to bet based on a Half-Kelly Criterion betting strategy

    • New York Mets ML +110, 17%

    Comparison to Sportsbook Odds (Edges and EV):

    MatchupHigher EV TeamProbabilityEVOdds
    New York Mets vs Philadelphia PhilliesNew York Mets65.46%0.3746+110

    My Model’s Predicted Winner + Win Probability:

    MatchupPredicted WinnerProbability
    New York Mets vs Philadelphia PhilliesNew York Mets65.46%
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