Category: Uncategorized

  • Solid day but seeing the Giants troll every day like that is painful. Today’s Stats: Model favorites won: 12/15Sportsbook favorites won: 10/15Picks won: 4/6Net Units: +2.82uROI: 47.00% Weekly Stats: Model favorites won: 16/23Sportsbook favorites won: 13/23Picks won: 8/12Net Units: +4.71uROI: 39.25%

  • My Picks% represents the amount of bankroll to bet based on a Half-Kelly Criterion betting strategy Baltimore Orioles ML -150, 13% Washington Nationals ML +230, 15.5% Kansas City Royals ML +125, 17% Chicago Cubs ML +180, 8.5% San Francisco Giants ML +170, 8% Detroit Tigers ML +110, 7% Comparison to Sportsbook Odds (Edges and EV):…

  • The Nats bullpen is filled with terrorists. Good day nonetheless though. Today’s Stats: Model favorites won: 4/8Sportsbook favorites won: 3/8Picks won: 4/6Net Units: +1.89uROI: 31.50% Weekly Stats: Model favorites won: 4/8Sportsbook favorites won: 3/8Picks won: 4/6Net Units: +1.89uROI: 31.50%

  • My Picks% represents the amount of bankroll to bet based on a Half-Kelly Criterion betting strategy Washington Nationals ML +125, 22% Pittsburgh Pirates ML +125, 5% Chicago Cubs ML +105, 5.5% San Francisco Giants ML +105, 13.5% Tampa Bay Rays ML -185, 7.5% San Diego Padres ML +100, 7.5% Comparison to Sportsbook Odds (Edges and…

  • A pretty good day to take off the heat. Today’s Stats: Model favorites won: 10/15Sportsbook favorites won: 10/15Picks won: 5/8Net Units: +3.02uROI: 37.75% Weekly Stats: Model favorites won: 51/97Sportsbook favorites won: 56/97Picks won: 21/45Net Units: -1.21uROI: -2.69%

  • My Picks% represents the amount of bankroll to bet based on a Half-Kelly Criterion betting strategy Baltimore Orioles ML +125, 10% Washington Nationals ML +105, 10% St. Louis Cardinals ML +110, 10.5% Miami Marlins ML -120, 20% Houston Astros ML -145, 8% Kansas City Royals ML +105, 14% Los Angeles Angels ML +185, 11% Boston…

  • Horrendous start to August. Skubal to the Dodgers too. Worst day of baseball ever. Today’s Stats: Model favorites won: 5/15Sportsbook favorites won: 10/15Picks won: 2/8Net Units: -4.67uROI: 58.38% Weekly Stats: Model favorites won: 41/82Sportsbook favorites won: 46/82Picks won: 16/37Net Units: -4.23uROI: -11.43%

  • My Picks% represents the amount of bankroll to bet based on a Half-Kelly Criterion betting strategy Tampa Bay Rays ML -170, 7% New York Mets ML -135, 4% Baltimore Orioles ML +120, 6.5% Washington Nationals ML +155, 11% New York Yankees ML -115, 7.5% Kansas City Royals ML +100, 16.5% San Francisco Giants ML +115,…

  • Awful day. Today’s Stats: Model favorites won: 6/15Sportsbook favorites won: 8/15Picks won: 2/7Net Units: -2.74uROI: 39.14% Weekly Stats: Model favorites won: 36/67Sportsbook favorites won: 36/67Picks won: 14/29Net Units: +0.44uROI: 1.52%

  • My Picks% represents the amount of bankroll to bet based on a Half-Kelly Criterion betting strategy New York Yankees ML +135, 8% Baltimore Orioles ML -115, 6% St. Louis Cardinals ML +145, 8% Cleveland Guardians ML -140, 7% Tampa Bay Rays ML -155, 9% Washington Nationals ML +105, 15% Kansas City Royals ML -110, 9%…