Category: Uncategorized

  • Pretty bad day. Big chokes from Cardinals, Rays, and Mariners. Today’s Stats: Model favorites won: 8/15Sportsbook favorites won: 7/15Picks won: 2/6Net Units: -1.96uROI: -32.67% Weekly Stats: Model favorites won: 21/36Sportsbook favorites won: 20/36Picks won: 6/15Net Units: -1.06uROI: -7.07%

  • My Picks% represents the amount of bankroll to bet based on a Half-Kelly Criterion betting strategy Washington Nationals ML +130, 11% Boston Red Sox ML -135, 7.5% Tampa Bay Rays ML +130, 6.5% Seattle Mariners ML -130, 8.5% St. Louis Cardinals ML +120, 6% San Francisco Giants ML +200, 9.5% Comparison to Sportsbook Odds (Edges…

  • Not a great day tbh but GIANTS BEAT THE DODGERS RAHHH Today’s Stats: Model favorites won: 9/15Sportsbook favorites won: 11/15Picks won: 2/6Net Units: -0.60uROI: -10.00% Weekly Stats: Model favorites won: 13/21Sportsbook favorites won: 13/21Picks won: 4/9Net Units: +0.90uROI: 10.00%

  • My Picks% represents the amount of bankroll to bet based on a Half-Kelly Criterion betting strategy Los Angeles Angels ML +110, 7% Colorado Rockies ML +235, 3.5% Tampa Bay Rays ML -125, 7.5% Chicago Cubs ML +100, 6% San Diego Padres ML +115, 13% San Francisco Giants ML +260, 8% Comparison to Sportsbook Odds (Edges…

  • ORIOLES BEAT THE YANKEES RAHHH GIANTS BEAT THE DODGERS RAHHH Today’s Stats: Model favorites won: 4/6Sportsbook favorites won: 2/6Picks won: 2/3Net Units: +1.50uROI: 50.00% Weekly Stats: Model favorites won: 4/6Sportsbook favorites won: 2/6Picks won: 2/3Net Units: +1.50uROI: 50.00%

  • My Picks% represents the amount of bankroll to bet based on a Half-Kelly Criterion betting strategy Tampa Bay Rays ML -105, 7% Texas Rangers ML -115, 10% San Francisco Giants ML +155, 15% Comparison to Sportsbook Odds (Edges and EV):Odds used are Fliff Odds. Your sportsbook’s odds may differ. Matchup Higher EV Team Probability EV…

  • Cardinals make me wanna tear my hair out. Bot 9 2 outs and somehow lets up a 2 run homer to tie it. Today’s Stats: Model favorites won: 5/15Sportsbook favorites won: 8/15Picks won: 3/6Net Units: +0.15uROI: 2.50% Weekly Stats: Model favorites won: 47/94Sportsbook favorites won: 49/94Picks won: 17/38Net Units: -1.70uROI: -4.47%

  • My Picks% represents the amount of bankroll to bet based on a Half-Kelly Criterion betting strategy Washington Nationals ML +115, 5% Tampa Bay Rays ML +105, 11% Colorado Rockies ML +240, 9% Chicago White Sox ML +105, 13% St. Louis Cardinals ML +110, 15% Detroit Tigers ML +105, 8% Comparison to Sportsbook Odds (Edges and…

  • Cardinals choked hard. Rockies too, but that’s to be expected. Also, Rays game pushed to tmrw. Today’s Stats: Model favorites won: 6/14Sportsbook favorites won: 7/14Picks won: 1/4Net Units: -1.90uROI: -47.50% Weekly Stats: Model favorites won: 42/79Sportsbook favorites won: 41/79Picks won: 14/32Net Units: -1.85uROI: -5.78%

  • My Picks% represents the amount of bankroll to bet based on a Half-Kelly Criterion betting strategy Athletics ML +110, 7.5% Tampa Bay Rays ML +125, 14% Colorado Rockies ML +165, 14% Detroit Tiger ML +115, 12% St. Louis Cardinals ML +120, 7.5% Comparison to Sportsbook Odds (Edges and EV):Odds used are Fliff Odds. Your sportsbook’s…