Category: Uncategorized
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Another day, another postponed game. Not a great day today tbh, but I’ve had a great week so I can’t complain. Today’s Stats: Model favorites won: 4/14Sportsbook favorites won: 6/14Picks won: 1/3Net Units: -0.45uROI: -15.00% Weekly Stats: Model favorites won: 42/79Sportsbook favorites won: 43/79Picks won: 17/26Net Units: +9.69uROI: 37.27%
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My Picks% represents the amount of bankroll to bet based on a Half-Kelly Criterion betting strategy Tampa Bay Rays ML +120, 14% Chicago White Sox ML +105, 10% Washington Nationals ML +155, 6% Athletics ML -110, 10% Comparison to Sportsbook Odds (Edges and EV):Odds used are Fliff Odds. Your sportsbook’s odds may differ. Matchup Higher…
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Really good day. Could’ve been better given how many ridiculously high EV plays there were today, but still really solid. Unfortunately, Cardinal games did get moved to tmrw. Not a fan of doubleheaders. Today’s Stats: Model favorites won: 9/14Sportsbook favorites won: 6/14Picks won: 4/7Net Units: +2.25uROI: 32.14% Weekly Stats: Model favorites won: 38/65Sportsbook favorites won:…
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My Picks% represents the amount of bankroll to bet based on a Half-Kelly Criterion betting strategy Houston Astros ML +120, 6% St. Louis Cardinals ML -110, 10% Tampa Bay Rays ML +135, 15% Pittsburgh Pirates ML +140, 9% Minnesota Twins ML +125, 6.5% Washington Nationals ML +180, 8% Los Angeles Angels ML +145, 18% Athletics…
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Solid day. Good bounce back from last week. Today’s Stats: Model favorites won: 4/7Sportsbook favorites won: 4/7Picks won: 2/3Net Units: +1.12uROI: 37.33% Weekly Stats: Model favorites won: 29/51Sportsbook favorites won: 31/51Picks won: 12/16Net Units: +7.89uROI: 49.31%
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My Picks% represents the amount of bankroll to bet based on a Half-Kelly Criterion betting strategy Pittsburgh Pirates ML -130, 8% Washington Nationals ML -105, 6% Toronto Blue Jays ML +135, 8% Comparison to Sportsbook Odds (Edges and EV):Odds used are Fliff Odds. Your sportsbook’s odds may differ. Matchup Higher EV Team Probability EV Odds…
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Really good day today. Massive Rangers clutch. Today’s Stats: Model favorites won: 9/15Sportsbook favorites won: 9/15Picks won: 4/5Net Units: +2.66uROI: 53.20% Weekly Stats: Model favorites won: 25/44Sportsbook favorites won: 27/44Picks won: 10/13Net Units: +6.77uROI: 52.08%
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My Picks% represents the amount of bankroll to bet based on a Half-Kelly Criterion betting strategy Cincinnati Reds ML +115, 7.5% Tampa Bay Rays ML -130, 7% Texas Rangers ML -135, 7.5% Chicago White Sox ML +120, 10% Boston Red Sox ML +100, 8.5% Comparison to Sportsbook Odds (Edges and EV):Odds used are Fliff Odds.…
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Really good day today. Massive White Sox clutch. Today’s Stats: Model favorites won: 9/15Sportsbook favorites won: 10/15Picks won: 4/5Net Units: +2.98uROI: 59.60% Weekly Stats: Model favorites won: 16/29Sportsbook favorites won: 18/29Picks won: 6/8Net Units: +4.11uROI: 51.38%
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My Picks% represents the amount of bankroll to bet based on a Half-Kelly Criterion betting strategy Washington Nationals ML +115, 6.5% Boston Red Sox ML -140, 9% Minnesota Twins ML -140, 10% Texas Rangers ML -115, 10% Chicago White Sox ML +125, 11% Comparison to Sportsbook Odds (Edges and EV):Odds used are Fliff Odds. Your…
