Category: Uncategorized
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Mediocre day today. Reds match got delayed to tomorrow, but they are up 1-0 in the 1st, so it’s a pretty good position. Today’s Stats: Model favorites won: 7/14Sportsbook favorites won: 7/14Picks won: 3/6Net Units: -0.25uROI: -4.17% Weekly Stats: Model favorites won: 37/78Sportsbook favorites won: 38/78Picks won: 24/42Net Units: +8.05uROI: 19.17%
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My Picks Washington Nationals ML +155 New York Mets ML -200 Seattle Mariners ML -120 Miami Marlins ML +100 Cincinnati Reds ML +105 Oakland Athletics ML -110 St. Louis Cardinals ML +125 Comparison to Sportsbook Odds (Edges and EV):Odds used are Fliff Odds. Your sportsbook’s odds may differ. Matchup Higher EV Team Probability EV Odds…
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Quite a bad start to the new month. Not much else to say, it was just a pretty bad day. Today’s Stats: Model favorites won: 7/15Sportsbook favorites won: 8/15Picks won: 3/7Net Units: -1.96uROI: -28.00% Weekly Stats: Model favorites won: 30/64Sportsbook favorites won: 31/64Picks won: 21/36Net Units: +8.30uROI: 23.06%
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My Picks Cincinnati Reds ML -140 Washington Nationals ML +130 New York Mets ML -145 Tampa Bay Rays ML +110 St. Louis Cardinals ML +150 Oakland Athletics ML -125 Seattle Mariners ML -190 Comparison to Sportsbook Odds (Edges and EV):Odds used are Fliff Odds. Your sportsbook’s odds may differ. Matchup Higher EV Team Probabilities EV…
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Pretty bad day today, though there weren’t that many picks to matter. Reds loss was pretty heartbreaking given the massive 8 run comeback they had. Today’s Stats: Model favorites won: 1/3Sportsbook favorites won: 1/3Picks won: 1/2Net Units: -0.44uROI: -22.00% Weekly Stats: Model favorites won: 23/49Sportsbook favorites won: 23/49Picks won: 18/29Net Units: +10.26uROI: 35.38%
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My Picks Cincinnati Reds ML -185 Seattle Mariners ML -180 Comparison to Sportsbook Odds (Edges and EV):Odds used are Fliff Odds. Your sportsbook’s odds may differ. Matchup Higher EV Team Probability EV Odds Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Tampa Bay Rays 53.34% -0.0132 -115 Atlanta Braves vs Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds 69.45% 0.0696…
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Really solid day today. Rays vs Yankees was cinema towards the end of the game. Unfortunately, said cinema is why the Rays lost. Today’s Stats: Model favorites won: 7/15Sportsbook favorites won: 6/15Picks won: 5/7Net Units: +3.33uROI: 47.57% Weekly Stats: Model favorites won: 22/46Sportsbook favorites won: 22/46Picks won: 17/27Net Units: +10.7uROI: 39.63%
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My Picks Toronto Blue Jays ML +105 Boston Red Sox ML +100 Kansas City Royals ML -120 Chicago White Sox ML +120 New York Mets ML -110 Tampa Bay Rays ML +115 Oakland Athletics ML +125 Comparison to Sportsbook Odds (Edges and EV):Odds used are Fliff Odds. Your sportsbook’s odds may differ. Matchup Higher EV…
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Very mediocre day today. Had tons of picks, a lot of which were high probability, but only half of them hit. Especially disappointed by the Blue Jays loss in the second match of the doubleheaders since that is my first 80% probability pick in a very long time, and it was a loss. Today’s Stats:…
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My Picks Toronto Blue Jays ML +110 Toronto Blue Jays ML -135 Colorado Rockies ML +180 Cincinnati Reds ML +125 Minnesota Twins ML -110 Kansas City Royals ML -125 Chicago White Sox ML +155 Milwaukee Brewers ML -115 Los Angeles Angels ML -125 San Diego Padres ML +105 Pittsburgh Pirates ML +135 Oakland Athletics ML…
