Category: Uncategorized
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Incredible day today. Somehow my high probability picks missed, but I’m not complaining considering all of my lower probability picks with juicy odds hit. Definitely my best day of picks since starting this project. What a way to start the week. Today’s Stats: Model favorites won: 7/15Sportsbook favorites won: 6/15Picks won: 6/8Net Units: +7.52uROI: 94.00%…
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My Picks Colorado Rockies ML +220 Arizona Diamondbacks ML +115 Los Angeles Dodgers ML -150 Kansas City Royals ML +140 Chicago White Sox ML +180 Milwaukee Brewers ML -105 Washington Nationals ML +225 Los Angeles Angels ML +165 Comparison to Sportsbook Odds (Edges and EV):Odds used are Fliff Odds. Your sportsbook’s odds may differ. Matchup…
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Very mediocre day today. Had a ton of picks, but even the higher probability ones like the Cardinals failed to hit. I don’t even want to talk about the Giants game; they had so many opportunities to win but choked all of them. And well, the Mets have swept them now. Today’s Stats: Model favorites…
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My Picks Colorado Rockies ML +170 Boston Red Sox ML -105 New York Yankees ML +115 Cincinnati Reds ML -105 Detroit Tigers ML -120 Kansas City Royals ML -135 Chicago White Sox ML +140 St. Louis Cardinals ML -130 Atlanta Braves ML +105 San Francisco Giants ML +105 Comparison to Sportsbook Odds (Edges and EV):Odds…
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Horrendous day today. I think this is my worst day to date. Last Saturday being a good day deceived me into thinking Saturdays were not cursed, but I’m back to having horrible Saturdays. On a similar note, I also seem to be cursed whenever there is a double-header. Honestly, the situation for a double header…
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My Picks New York Yankees ML +110 Kansas City Royals ML -115 Cincinnati Reds ML -125 Colorado Rockies ML +220 Atlanta Braves ML +100 Kansas City Royals ML -135 Los Angeles Angels ML +110 Comparison to Sportsbook Odds (Edges and EV):Odds used are Fliff Odds. Your sportsbook’s odds may differ. Matchup Higher EV Team Probability…
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Pretty bad day for my model and the sportsbook, but my picks still hit. The Rockies and Phillies were excellent +EV picks that went against my model but were close to 50%. It seems my model is decently calibrated now. Unfortunately, Guardians vs Royals has been postponed to tomorrow. Today’s Stats: Model favorites won: 5/14Sportsbook…
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My Picks Colorado Rockies ML +180 Philadelphia Phillies ML +125 Boston Red Sox ML +100 Cincinnati Reds ML -110 Kansas City Royals ML -115 Washington Nationals ML +140 Los Angeles Angels ML +105 Comparison to Sportsbook Odds (Edges and EV):Odds used are Fliff Odds. Your sportsbook’s odds may differ. Matchup Higher EV Team Probability EV…
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Very strong day today. Only had two picks today, but both of them hit. Today’s Stats: Model favorites won: 3/4Sportsbook favorites won: 1/4Picks won: 2/2Net Units: +2.33uROI: 116.50% Weekly Stats: Model favorites won: 28/49Sportsbook favorites won: 23/49Picks won: 12/21Net Units: +3.77uROI: 17.95%
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Sorry that I missed the Orioles vs Guardians match today. Not a lot of matches today overall though. My Picks Toronto Blue Jays ML +115 Oakland Athletics ML +120 Comparison to Sportsbook Odds (Edges and EV):Odds used are Fliff Odds. Your sportsbook’s odds may differ. Matchup Higher EV Team Probability EV Odds Toronto Blue Jays…
