Category: Uncategorized

  • Yet another bad day. This week has been awful. White Sox choked horrendously. If they hadn’t, I’d be up a decent bit today. Today’s Stats: Model favorites won: 2/4Sportsbook favorites won: 2/4Picks won: 1/3Net Units: -1.41uROI: -47.00% Weekly Stats: Model favorites won: 21/47Sportsbook favorites won: 23/47Picks won: 12/27Net Units: -3.89uROI: -14.41%

  • My Picks Washington Nationals ML +115 Chicago White Sox ML +245 Pittsburgh Pirates ML -170 Comparison to Sportsbook Odds (Edges and EV):Odds used are Fliff Odds. Your sportsbook’s odds may differ. Matchup Higher EV Team Probability EV Odds Athletics vs Washington Nationals Washington Nationals 62.62% 0.3463 +115 Chicago White Sox vs Seattle Mariners Chicago White…

  • Pretty bad day today. Luckily, I did figure out a small issue with my model and changed it so it should be better and more consistent going forwards. Today’s Stats: Model favorites won: 6/15Sportsbook favorites won: 7/15Picks won: 4/9Net Units: -0.78uROI: -8.67% Weekly Stats: Model favorites won: 19/43Sportsbook favorites won: 21/43Picks won: 11/24Net Units: -2.48uROI:…

  • My Picks Pittsburgh Pirates ML +135 New York Yankees ML -150 Colorado Rockies ML +190 Los Angeles Angels ML +100 Houston Astros ML -120 Washington Nationals ML +110 Kansas City Royals ML +125 Milwaukee Brewers ML +105 Arizona Diamondbacks ML +125 Comparison to Sportsbook Odds (Edges and EV):Odds used are Fliff Odds. Your sportsbook’s odds…

  • Horrible day today. Might be the worst day since I’ve started this project. Was so happy yesterday to break my losing streak but this day was almost worse than the whole streak combined maybe. Today’s Stats: Model favorites won: 6/15Sportsbook favorites won: 8/15Picks won: 3/9Net Units: -4.35uROI: -48.33% Weekly Stats: Model favorites won: 13/28Sportsbook favorites…

  • My Picks Pittsburgh Pirates ML +120 Miami Marlins ML -105 Washington Nationals ML -130 Kansas City Royals ML +215 Atlanta Braves ML +125 Texas Rangers ML -130 Toronto Blue Jays ML -265 Arizona Diamondbacks ML +110 Los Angeles Dodgers ML -200 Comparison to Sportsbook Odds (Edges and EV):Odds used are Fliff Odds. Your sportsbook’s odds…

  • Pretty solid day today. Great start to the week, and a great end to my losing streak. Today’s Stats: Model favorites won: 7/13Sportsbook favorites won: 6/13Picks won: 4/6Net Units: +2.65uROI: 44.17% Weekly Stats: Model favorites won: 7/13Sportsbook favorites won: 6/13Picks won: 4/6Net Units: +2.65uROI: 44.17%

  • My Picks Pittsburgh Pirates ML +110 Miami Marlins ML -135 Cleveland Guardians ML +170 Atlanta Braves ML +120 Los Angeles Angels ML -125 Arizona Diamondbacks ML +115 Comparison to Sportsbook Odds (Edges and EV):Odds used are Fliff Odds. Your sportsbook’s odds may differ. Matchup Higher EV Team Probability EV Odds San Francisco Giants vs Pittsburgh…

  • Horrible day today. Model changed the output for the Reds game, and it was suspended, so I will not be including that match given how wacky it was. White Sox choked a 5-0 lead. Athletics lost with 75% projected probability. Nationals got swept horribly and my model had them all 3 games. This week was…

  • My Picks Boston Red Sox ML +105 Tampa Bay Rays ML +180 Washington Nationals ML +160 New York Mets ML -175 Miami Marlins ML +105 Oakland Athletics ML -105 Chicago White Sox ML +120 Seattle Mariners ML +125 Comparison to Sportsbook Odds (Edges and EV):Odds used are Fliff Odds. Your sportsbook’s odds may differ. Matchup…