Category: Uncategorized
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Pretty good first day for my new model. Hopefully it stays consistent. Sucks that Dodgers choked at the end there. Today’s Stats: Model favorites won: 9/15Sportsbook favorites won: 8/15Picks won: 4/7Net Units: +1.50uROI: 21.43% Weekly Stats: Model favorites won: 13/26Sportsbook favorites won: 14/26Picks won: 4/12Net Units: -3.50uROI: -29.17%
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My Picks Cleveland Guardians ML -145, 12.5% Washington Nationals ML +170, 5% Chicago White Sox ML +155, 5% Pittsburgh Pirates ML +110, 20% Arizona Diamondbacks ML +135, 20% Boston Red Sox ML -110, 7.5% Los Angeles Dodgers ML -195, 20% Comparison to Sportsbook Odds (Edges and EV):Odds used are Fliff Odds. Your sportsbook’s odds may…
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Horrible day for my model, but I made a big mistake and forgot to update my dataset and team records. Really bad slip-up to make, since that affects quite a few of my features. Also, I’m almost done with testing and analysis for my new model, which I’ll use starting now. Today’s Stats: Model favorites…
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My Picks Cincinnati Reds ML -125, 7.5% Minnesota Twins ML +160, 12.5% Washington Nationals ML +125, 22.5% Chicago White Sox ML +130, 7.5% Arizona Diamondbacks ML +145, 5% Comparison to Sportsbook Odds (Edges and EV):Odds used are Fliff Odds. Your sportsbook’s odds may differ. Matchup Higher EV Team Probability EV Odds Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati…
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That wraps up the worst week I hope I will ever have in this project. Luckily, I did figure out that the SVM I had just swapped out was not very consistent and has been dropping in accuracy the past couple of weeks. I think it might have been overfitting but I’m not certain. Today’s…
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My Picks Kansas City Royals ML -130, 7.5% Athletics ML +105, 15% Los Angeles Angels ML +175, 5% Chicago White Sox ML +120, 10% New York Mets ML +100, 7.5% Boston Red Sox ML +110, 10% Toronto Blue Jays ML +155, 15% Comparison to Sportsbook Odds (Edges and EV):Odds used are Fliff Odds. Your sportsbook’s…
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Horrible day today. I just cannot catch a break this week. Today’s Stats: Model favorites won: 9/16Sportsbook favorites won: 8/16Picks won: 2/6Net Units: -2.03uROI: -33.83% Weekly Stats: Model favorites won: 40/78Sportsbook favorites won: 41/78Picks won: 17/40Net Units: -6.80uROI: -17.00%
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My Picks San Francisco Giants ML -170, 7.5% Pittsburgh Pirates ML +100, 12.5% Athletics ML +100, 5% Chicago White Sox ML +120, 25% Atlanta Braves ML -105, 22.5% St. Louis Cardinals ML -110, 15% Comparison to Sportsbook Odds (Edges and EV):Odds used are Fliff Odds. Your sportsbook’s odds may differ. Matchup Higher EV Team Probability…
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Model did pretty well today. Unfortunately, my picks did not. Today’s Stats: Model favorites won: 10/15Sportsbook favorites won: 10/15Picks won: 3/7Net Units: -0.88uROI: -12.57% Weekly Stats: Model favorites won: 31/62Sportsbook favorites won: 33/62Picks won: 15/34Net Units: -4.77uROI: -14.03%
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My Picks Pittsburgh Pirates ML +105 New York Yankees ML +105 Los Angeles Angels ML +285 Atlanta Braves ML +110 Chicago White Sox ML +140 St. Louis Cardinals ML +135 San Francisco Giants ML -180 Comparison to Sportsbook Odds (Edges and EV):Odds used are Fliff Odds. Your sportsbook’s odds may differ. Matchup Higher EV Team…
