Category: Uncategorized
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Horrible day. Half of my losses were chokes in the 8th or 9th inning which really sucks. Today’s Stats: Model favorites won: 5/15Sportsbook favorites won: 7/15Picks won: 2/8Net Units: -4.51uROI: -56.38% Weekly Stats: Model favorites won: 43/93Sportsbook favorites won: 45/93Picks won: 17/44Net Units: -8.61uROI: -19.57%
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My Picks% represents the amount of bankroll to bet based on a Half-Kelly Criterion betting strategy Philadelphia Phillies ML -185, 5% Boston Red Sox ML -270, 20% Cincinnati Reds ML +110, 2.5% St. Louis Cardinals ML +130, 15% Pittsburgh Pirates ML +160, 5% Arizona Diamondbacks ML -140, 10% Athletics ML -110, 10% Tampa Bay Rays…
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Another day full of choking. Diamondbacks and Reds had insane chokes. Can’t wait to wrap up this week though. The few starting days of the new model were pretty solid, and I’m still positive with the new model, but this Monday was awful. Today’s Stats: Model favorites won: 8/15Sportsbook favorites won: 9/15Picks won: 3/8Net Units:…
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My Picks% represents the amount of bankroll to bet based on a Half-Kelly Criterion betting strategy Seattle Mariners ML -130, 10% Cincinnati Reds ML +120, 7.5% Baltimore Orioles ML +125, 10% Chicago White Sox ML +140, 12.5% Detroit Tigers ML -120, 15% Arizona Diamondbacks ML -200, 10% Tampa Bay Rays ML +100, 10% Athletics ML…
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Horrible day. So many of my picks absolutely choked today. Generational choke by the Reds, Rangers, and Giants. Although at this point, the Giants choke was very expected. I see loaded bases and I know they won’t score. Today’s Stats: Model favorites won: 6/15Sportsbook favorites won: 7/15Picks won: 2/8Net Units: -3.46uROI: -43.25% Weekly Stats: Model…
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My Picks% represents the amount of bankroll to bet based on a Half-Kelly Criterion betting strategy Pittsburgh Pirates ML +180, 10% Cincinnati Reds ML +120, 10% Texas Rangers ML -110, 5% Cleveland Guardians ML -120, 15% Detroit Tigers ML -135, 5% St. Louis Cardinals ML +115, 10% San Diego Padres ML +135, 10% San Francisco…
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Pretty poor day today for both me and the sportsbook. I had a lot of 50% swing matches today though, one of which was one of my two picks. Today’s Stats: Model favorites won: 2/7Sportsbook favorites won: 3/7Picks won: 1/2Net Units: +0.85uROI: 42.50% Weekly Stats: Model favorites won: 24/48Sportsbook favorites won: 22/48Picks won: 10/20Net Units:…
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My Picks% represents the amount of bankroll to bet based on a Half-Kelly Criterion betting strategy Miami Marlins ML +110, 5% Washington Nationals ML +185, 12.5% Comparison to Sportsbook Odds (Edges and EV):Odds used are Fliff Odds. Your sportsbook’s odds may differ. Matchup Higher EV Team Probability EV Odds Seattle Mariners vs Baltimore Orioles Baltimore…
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Very good day today. New model is cooking. Obviously it’s a bit early to call it a good model, since I lack large numbers and could just be getting lucky rn. Today’s Stats: Model favorites won: 9/15Sportsbook favorites won: 5/15Picks won: 5/6Net Units: +4.27uROI: 71.17% Weekly Stats: Model favorites won: 22/41Sportsbook favorites won: 19/41Picks won:…
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My Picks Pittsburgh Pirates ML +185, 10% Arizona Diamondbacks ML +130, 7.5% San Diego Padres ML -175, 15% Cincinnati Reds ML +120, 5% Miami Marlins ML +105, 10% Minnesota Twins ML +115, 7.5% Comparison to Sportsbook Odds (Edges and EV):Odds used are Fliff Odds. Your sportsbook’s odds may differ. Matchup Higher EV Team Probability EV…
