Category: Uncategorized
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My Picks% represents the amount of bankroll to bet based on a Half-Kelly Criterion betting strategy Tampa Bay Rays ML +125, 10% Miami Marlins ML +100, 15% Washington Nationals ML +210, 7.5% Minnesota Twins ML +120, 7.5% New York Mets ML +105, 5% Athletics ML +190, 7.5% Cincinnati Reds ML +125, 10% Comparison to Sportsbook…
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Mid day today. First week of new model was really good though. Today’s Stats: Model favorites won: 10/15Sportsbook favorites won: 9/15Picks won: 3/6Net Units: +0.05uROI: 0.83% Weekly Stats: Model favorites won: 38/57Sportsbook favorites won: 33/57Picks won: 20/27Net Units: +12.70uROI: 47.04%
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My Picks% represents the amount of bankroll to bet based on a Half-Kelly Criterion betting strategy Colorado Rockies ML +300, 10% Baltimore Orioles ML -155, 10% New York Mets ML -145, 15% Kansas City Royals ML +125, 5% Miami Marlins ML +115, 5% Athletics ML +145, 5% Comparison to Sportsbook Odds (Edges and EV):Odds used…
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Great day. Got pretty lucky with the Athletics and Blue Jays clutches tbh. Today’s Stats: Model favorites won: 9/14Sportsbook favorites won: 7/14Picks won: 7/9Net Units: +4.46uROI: 49.56% Weekly Stats: Model favorites won: 28/42Sportsbook favorites won: 24/42Picks won: 17/21Net Units: +12.65uROI: 60.24%
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My Picks% represents the amount of bankroll to bet based on a Half-Kelly Criterion betting strategy Boston Red Sox ML -115, 15% Toronto Blue Jays ML -135, 20% Kansas City Royals ML +105, 5% Cleveland Guardians ML +105, 10% Chicago White Sox ML -110, 5% New York Mets ML -125, 10% Arizona Diamondbacks ML +100,…
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I’ll be off on a small break, so I won’t be posting for the next couple of days. I might still post my picks tomorrow, but I will not post the recap until I get back. Should be back by Saturday.
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Good day overall, but it could have been a lot better if the White Sox didn’t choke a 10-4 lead. Today’s Stats: Model favorites won: 13/16Sportsbook favorites won: 12/16Picks won: 5/7Net Units: +2.81uROI: 40.14% Weekly Stats: Model favorites won: 19/28Sportsbook favorites won: 17/28Picks won: 10/12Net Units: +8.19uROI: 68.25%
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My Picks% represents the amount of bankroll to bet based on a Half-Kelly Criterion betting strategy St. Louis Cardinals ML +125, 7.5% Baltimore Orioles ML +120, 10% Chicago White Sox ML +140, 20% Athletics ML +130, 7.5% Milwaukee Brewers ML -135, 5% Cincinnati Reds ML -150, 5% San Diego Padres ML -255, 15% Comparison to…
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Great start to the week. Finally got all the analysis done, so I will be using this model until the end of the season probably. And this will be the official start to my second live-test session. Today’s Stats: Model favorites won: 6/12Sportsbook favorites won: 5/12Picks won: 5/5Net Units: +5.38uROI: 107.60% Weekly Stats: Model favorites…
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My Picks% represents the amount of bankroll to bet based on a Half-Kelly Criterion betting strategy Pittsburgh Pirates ML -110, 7.5% Baltimore Orioles ML +105, 7.5% Chicago White Sox ML +185, 20% Kansas City Royals ML -135, 15% Cincinnati Reds ML -120, 15% Comparison to Sportsbook Odds (Edges and EV):Odds used are Fliff Odds. Your…
