Category: Uncategorized
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My Picks Seattle Mariners ML -120 Tampa Bay Rays ML +100 Chicago White Sox ML +105 Oakland Athletics ML +160 Texas Rangers ML +115 San Diego Padres ML -105 Comparison to Sportsbook Odds (Edges and EV):Odds used are Fliff Odds. Your sportsbook’s odds may differ. Matchup Predicted Team Probability EV Odds New York Mets vs…
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Pretty rough day today. I made a pretty big mistake missing the first few matches, since Brewers had pretty good odds and probability last night. I might switch to posting the matchups early on, then updating the ones that start later the day a few hours before they begin. Today’s Stats: Model favorites won: 4/10Sportsbook…
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Sorry for the late post. Missed the first four games, so those aren’t included. My Picks Cincinnati Reds ML -145 Chicago Cubs ML -105 Oakland Athletics ML +100 Comparison to Sportsbook Odds (Edges and EV):Odds used are Fliff Odds. Your sportsbook’s odds may differ. Matchup Predicted Team Probability EV Odds Seattle Mariners vs New York…
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Mets and Giants had me sweating today. Pretty good day overall. Mariners was a true disasterclass. They lost all their steam after the game got delayed. Today’s Stats: Model favorites won: 10/15Sportsbook favorites won: 10/15Picks won: 4/6Net Units: +1.01uROI: 16.83% Weekly Stats: Model favorites won: 17/25Sportsbook favorites won: 14/25Picks won: 8/12Net Units: +3.42uROI: 28.5%
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My Picks New York Mets ML -135 Detroit Tigers ML -130 Seattle Mariners ML +105 Cincinnati Reds ML -125 Milwaukee Brewers ML -105 San Francisco Giants ML -150 Comparison to Sportsbook Odds (Edges and EV):Odds used are Fliff Odds. Your sportsbook’s odds may differ. Matchup Predicted Team Probability EV Odds New York Mets vs Baltimore…
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Great day today for my model and a strong start to the week. Getting the probable starting pitcher info in the morning is far more reliable than the pulling them the night before. As such, my picks and results should be more consistent and in line with my model’s performance. I have significantly higher favorites…
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My Picks Detroit Tigers ML -110 Cincinnati Reds ML -135 Milwaukee Brewers ML +120 Los Angeles Angels ML +115 San Diego Padres ML -125 San Francisco Giants ML +115 Comparison to Sportsbook Odds (Edges and EV):Odds used are Fliff Odds. Your sportsbook’s odds may differ. Matchup Predicted Team Probability EV Odds Tampa Bay Rays vs…
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Absolute disaster day today. I’m going to go ahead with making my picks early morning instead of the night before since the probable starting pitchers were quite inaccurate last night. With the updated probable pitchers in the morning, my model heavily favored the Red Sox, which sucked especially since Nationals was one of my picks…
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My Picks Baltimore Orioles ML +135 Washington Nationals ML +235 Los Angeles Angels ML +160 Miami Marlins ML +100 Arizona Diamondbacks ML -140 Comparison to Sportsbook Odds (Edges and EV):Odds used are Fliff Odds. Your sportsbook’s odds may differ. Matchup Predicted Team Probability EV Odds Baltimore Orioles vs Atlanta Braves Baltimore Orioles 50.16% 0.1787 +135…
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I made a mistake while fetching the matchups yesterday so some of the starting pitchers were off, which screwed with some of the predictions. Mostly, the predicted teams were the same though, with the exception of the Athletics, which was unfortunately one of my picks. Today’s Stats: Model favorites won: 8/15Sportsbook favorites won: 7/15Picks won:…
