Category: Uncategorized
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Alright day today. Solid odds on my bets, so ended up with a good return even though I went 3/6 on picks. Glad that baseball and betting is back. Technically the start of this week of betting given the long All Stars delay. Today’s Stats: Model favorites won: 8/15Sportsbook favorites won: 8/15Picks won: 3/6Net Units:…
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My Picks Boston Red Sox ML +115 Washington Nationals ML +120 Los Angeles Angels ML +180 New York Yankees ML +115 Colorado Rockies ML +135 Seattle Mariners ML -135 Comparison to Sportsbook Odds (Edges and EV):Odds used are Fliff Odds. Your sportsbook’s odds may differ. Matchup Higher EV Team Probability EV Odds Boston Red Sox…
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This week is MLB All-Star Week, so there are no regular games until Friday. Unfortunately, that means no picks or gambling until Friday.
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Model performed pretty well today and closed this week out with a bang. Unfortunately, the White Sox choked, and Steven Kwan clutched up to finish them off in the 10th. Otherwise, all the matches went pretty much as expected. Athletics were surprisingly dominant today. Given the Jay’s recent dominance, I thought it might go against…
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My Picks Tampa Bay Rays ML +100 Chicago Cubs ML +105 Kansas City Royals ML +100 Pittsburgh Pirates ML +135 Chicago White Sox ML +120 Oakland Athletics ML +105 Comparison to Sportsbook Odds (Edges and EV):Odds used are Fliff Odds. Your sportsbook’s odds may differ. Matchup Predicted Team Probability EV Odds Tampa Bay Rays vs…
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Horrible day today, like last Saturday. I’m not superstitious or anything, but I’m starting to think Saturdays may be cursed for my model or something. It is, however, also notable that the Braves were still missing starting pitcher information an hour before the game. I assume that some of the other probable starting pitchers were…
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My Picks Pittsburgh Pirates ML +115 Kansas City Royals ML +110 Tampa Bay Rays ML +160 Chicago White Sox +135 Oakland Athletics ML +130 Comparison to Sportsbook Odds (Edges and EV):Odds used are Fliff Odds. Your sportsbook’s odds may differ. Matchup Predicted Team Probability EV Odds Chicago Cubs vs New York Yankees Chicago Cubs 45.15%…
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I went 3/6 on picks today, but since all the picks today had good odds, I ended up with a solid profit today. It was kind of funny to see how few people there were at the earlier White Sox game today. Today’s Stats: Model favorites won: 9/16Sportsbook favorites won: 9/16Picks won: 3/6Net Units: +1.70uROI:…
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My Picks Chicago White Sox ML +105 Colorado Rockies ML +200 Chicago White Sox ML +125 Pittsburgh Pirates ML +115 San Diego Padres ML +145 Oakland Athletics ML +150 Comparison to Sportsbook Odds (Edges and EV):Odds used are Fliff Odds. Your sportsbook’s odds may differ. Matchup Predicted Team Probability EV Odds Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago…
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Although today was a positive day. it felt pretty awful since both Rays and Mariners should have won, especially the Mariners. Honestly, their chokejob was impressive. White Sox match got postponed, so we’ll see how it goes tomorrow. The prediction may change though. Today’s Stats: Model favorites won: 6/10Sportsbook favorites won: 4/10Picks won: 3/5Net Units:…
