Great day today for my model and a strong start to the week. Getting the probable starting pitcher info in the morning is far more reliable than the pulling them the night before. As such, my picks and results should be more consistent and in line with my model’s performance. I have significantly higher favorites…

Absolute disaster day today. I’m going to go ahead with making my picks early morning instead of the night before since the probable starting pitchers were quite inaccurate last night. With the updated probable pitchers in the morning, my model heavily favored the Red Sox, which sucked especially since Nationals was one of my picks…

I made a mistake while fetching the matchups yesterday so some of the starting pitchers were off, which screwed with some of the predictions. Mostly, the predicted teams were the same though, with the exception of the Athletics, which was unfortunately one of my picks. Today’s Stats: Model favorites won: 8/15Sportsbook favorites won: 7/15Picks won:…

Today was a pretty good day. Brewers and Twins had me sweating until the end though. Today’s Stats: Model favorites won: 10/15Sportsbook favorites won: 9/15Picks won: 4/5Net Units: +3.06u, ROI: +61.20% Weekly Stats: Model favorites won: 15/25Sportsbook favorites won: 13/25Picks won: 6/10Net Units: +2.16u, ROI: +21.6%

Yankees loss stung quite a bit since it was predicted to have high probability to win. Model favorites won: 5/10 Sportsbook favorites won: 4/10Picks won: 2/5Net Units: -0.90u, ROI: -18%

My Picks Comparison to Sportsbook Odds (Edges and EV)Odds used are Fliff Odds. Your sportsbook’s odds may differ. Matchup Higher EV Pick Probability EV Odds Minnesota Twins vs Miami Marlins Miami Marlins 56.31% 0.1263 +100 Houston Astros vs Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies 45.20% 0.1516 +155 Detroit Tigers vs Washington Nationals Detroit Tigers 65.85% 0.0601 -165…