Bayesball Picks

Model-Based EV Picks

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Current Model Stats:
Test accuracy: 58.53%
2,284 games

10/15/25 Baseball Picks

My Picks
% represents the amount of bankroll to bet based on a Half-Kelly Criterion betting strategy

  • Toronto Blue Jays ML +100, 15%

Comparison to Sportsbook Odds (Edges and EV):
Odds used are Fliff Odds. Your sportsbook’s odds may differ.

MatchupHigher EV TeamProbabilityEVOdds
Toronto Blue Jays vs Seattle MarinersToronto Blue Jays65.01%0.3003+100

My Model’s Predicted Winner + Win Probability:

MatchupPredicted TeamProbability
Toronto Blue Jays vs Seattle MarinersToronto Blue Jays65.01%
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