Bayesball Picks

Model-Based EV Picks

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Current Model Stats:
Test accuracy: 58.53%
2,284 games

10/14/25 Baseball Picks

My Picks
% represents the amount of bankroll to bet based on a Half-Kelly Criterion betting strategy

  • Los Angeles Dodgers ML -120, 2.5%

Comparison to Sportsbook Odds (Edges and EV):
Odds used are Fliff Odds. Your sportsbook’s odds may differ.

MatchupHigher EV TeamProbabilityEVOdds
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Milwaukee BrewersLos Angeles Dodgers57.60%0.0540-120

My Model’s Predicted Winner + Win Probability:

MatchupPredicted TeamProbability
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Milwaukee BrewersLos Angeles Dodgers57.60%
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