My Picks
% represents the amount of bankroll to bet based on a Half-Kelly Criterion betting strategy
- Philadelphia Phillies ML +115, 5%
- Chicago Cubs ML +105, 7.5%
Comparison to Sportsbook Odds (Edges and EV):
Odds used are Fliff Odds. Your sportsbook’s odds may differ.
| Matchup | Higher EV Team | Probability | EV | Odds |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies | Philadelphia Phillies | 51.75% | 0.1126 | +115 |
| Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers | Chicago Cubs | 56.36% | 0.1553 | +105 |
My Model’s Predicted Winner + Win Probability:
| Matchup | Predicted Team | Probability |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies | Philadelphia Phillies | 51.75% |
| Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers | Chicago Cubs | 56.36% |
Bayesball Picks 
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