My Picks
% represents the amount of bankroll to bet based on a Half-Kelly Criterion betting strategy
- Chicago Cubs ML -115, 7.5%
- Boston Red Sox ML +140, 7.5%
Comparison to Sportsbook Odds (Edges and EV):
Odds used are Fliff Odds. Your sportsbook’s odds may differ.
| Matchup | Higher EV Team | Probability | EV | Odds |
| Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians | Cleveland Guardians | 53.28% | -0.0409 | -125 |
| San Diego Padres vs Chicago Cubs | Chicago Cubs | 60.32% | 0.1281 | -115 |
| Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees | Boston Red Sox | 51.82% | 0.2438 | +140 |
My Model’s Predicted Winner + Win Probability:
| Matchup | Predicted Team | Probability |
| Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians | Cleveland Guardians | 53.28% |
| San Diego Padres vs Chicago Cubs | Chicago Cubs | 60.32% |
| Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees | Boston Red Sox | 51.82% |
Bayesball Picks 
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