My Picks
% represents the amount of bankroll to bet based on a Half-Kelly Criterion betting strategy
- Washington Nationals ML +220, 7.5%
- St. Louis Cardinals ML +125, 15%
Comparison to Sportsbook Odds (Edges and EV):
Odds used are Fliff Odds. Your sportsbook’s odds may differ.
| Matchup | Higher EV Team | Probability | EV | Odds |
| Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves | Washington Nationals | 41.29% | 0.3212 | +220 |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres | Milwaukee Brewers | 53.04% | 0.0874 | +105 |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs San Francisco Giants | St. Louis Cardinals | 61.32% | 0.3797 | +125 |
My Model’s Predicted Winner + Win Probability:
| Matchup | Predicted Winner | Probability |
| Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves | Atlanta Braves | 58.71% |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres | Milwaukee Brewers | 53.04% |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs San Francisco Giants | St. Louis Cardinals | 61.32% |
Bayesball Picks 
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