Bayesball Picks

Horrendous day. By my calculations, losing on all 6 picks was a ~1% probability event. It’s bound to happen, but man does it feel terrible. Looking at model analysis, it doesn’t seem like the model is doing horribly, just an unlucky day.

Today’s Stats:

Model favorites won: 5/15
Sportsbook favorites won: 7//15
Picks won: 0/6
Net Units: -6.00u
ROI: -100.00%

Weekly Stats:

Model favorites won: 36/66
Sportsbook favorites won: 38/66
Picks won: 12/31
Net Units: -3.20u
ROI: -10.32%