Bayesball Picks

Pretty bad day for my model and the sportsbook, but my picks still hit. The Rockies and Phillies were excellent +EV picks that went against my model but were close to 50%. It seems my model is decently calibrated now. Unfortunately, Guardians vs Royals has been postponed to tomorrow.

Today’s Stats:

Model favorites won: 5/14
Sportsbook favorites won: 5/14
Picks won: 4/6
Net Units: +3.01u
ROI: 50.17%

Weekly Stats:

Model favorites won: 33/63
Sportsbook favorites won: 28/63
Picks won: 16/27
Net Units: +6.78u
ROI: 25.11%