Bayesball Picks

Horrible day today, like last Saturday. I’m not superstitious or anything, but I’m starting to think Saturdays may be cursed for my model or something. It is, however, also notable that the Braves were still missing starting pitcher information an hour before the game. I assume that some of the other probable starting pitchers were also possibly not set in stone, which would have a big effect on my model’s performance.

Today’s Stats:

Model favorites won: 6/15
Sportsbook favorites won: 9/15
Picks won: 1/5
Net Units: -2.70u
ROI: -54.00%

Weekly Stats:

Model favorites won: 42/76
Sportsbook favorites won: 41/76
Picks won: 16/31
Net Units: +2.57u
ROI: 8.29%