Bayesball Picks

Sorry for the late post. Missed the first four games, so those aren’t included.

My Picks

• Cincinnati Reds ML -145
• Chicago Cubs ML -105
• Oakland Athletics ML +100

Comparison to Sportsbook Odds (Edges and EV):
Odds used are Fliff Odds. Your sportsbook’s odds may differ.

Matchup	Predicted Team	Probability	EV	Odds
Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees	Seattle Mariners	45.56%	0.0478	+130
Colorado Rockies vs Boston Red Sox	Colorado Rockies	36.74%	0.3592	+270
Miami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds	Cincinnati Reds	69.60%	0.1763	-145
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Kansas City Royals	Kansas City Royals	63.07%	-0.0350	-190
Chicago Cubs vs Minnesota Twins	Chicago Cubs	54.96%	0.0717	-105
Washington Nationals vs St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals	60.86%	0.0408	-140
Cleveland Guardians vs Houston Astros	Houston Astros	60.86%	0.0042	-155
Texas Rangers vs Los Angeles Angels	Texas Rangers	50.66%	-0.0133	+100
Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres	San Diego Padres	59.27%	-0.0101	-150
Atlanta Braves vs Oakland Athletics	Oakland Athletics	59.15%	0.1829	+100

Today’s Favorite Predictions + Probability:

Matchup	Predicted Team	Probability
Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees	New York Yankees	54.44%
Colorado Rockies vs Boston Red Sox	Boston Red Sox	63.26%
Miami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds	Cincinnati Reds	69.60%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Kansas City Royals	Kansas City Royals	63.07%
Chicago Cubs vs Minnesota Twins	Chicago Cubs	54.96%
Washington Nationals vs St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals	60.86%
Cleveland Guardians vs Houston Astros	Houston Astros	60.86%
Texas Rangers vs Los Angeles Angels	Texas Rangers	50.66%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres	San Diego Padres	59.27%
Atlanta Braves vs Oakland Athletics	Oakland Athletics	59.15%