Bayesball Picks

Absolute disaster day today. I’m going to go ahead with making my picks early morning instead of the night before since the probable starting pitchers were quite inaccurate last night. With the updated probable pitchers in the morning, my model heavily favored the Red Sox, which sucked especially since Nationals was one of my picks with insane EV. It also led the Brewers to be favored over the Marlins, another one of my picks. Unfortunately, I close this week with a loss, but hopefully after getting picks in the morning, my results will be more consistent.

Today’s Stats:

Model favorites won: 7/15
Sportsbook favorites won: 8/15
Picks won: 1/5
Net Units: -2.65u
ROI: -53.00%

Weekly Stats:

Model favorites won: 30/55
Sportsbook favorites won: 28/55
Picks won: 9/20
Net Units: -1.19u
ROI: -5.95%